Retinoblastom - Forum

Travis · Mitglied Beiträge: 153

Zitat: Vicente

"We know that prediction markets, such as Betfair, generally lead to accurate forecasts, and outperform individual experts and polls in many settings. However, we wanted to find out if social media has anything to add. Can we combine probability forecasts from prediction markets with social media output to improve our predictions?

"We find that Twitter activity predicts match outcomes, after controlling for betting marketprices. Much of the predictive power of social media presents itself just after significant market events, such as goals and red cards, where the tone of Tweets can help in the interpretation of information.